Is the Polish economy in danger of the devastation of the budget and the financial disaster?

Abstract

The aim of the article was to solve the problems connected with the question: is the Polish economy threatened by a financial disaster and devastation of the budget as a result of additional government spending on the 2016 Family 500+ program, i.e. carrying out to the scientific analysis of the main points of the criticism of the government economic program. The presented research results were created thanks to the development of the concept of an additional fiscal stimulus contributing to the development of J.M. Keynes’s theory. Launching this stimulus did not breach the condition of fiscal stability of the system and thus there was no risk of a financial disaster. The success of the economic experiment of launching an additional fiscal stimulus in the budget deficit situation was achieved because Keynesian households dominate in the Polish economy and, therefore, the fiscal multiplier is greater than one. The multiplier mechanism then generates a significant tax effect. As a result, the funding shortfall turned out to be less than 50% of the value of the fiscal stimulus. Also, the decrease in the budget deficit, compared to its planned amount indicated in the 2016 budget law, did not confirm the view that the current government’s economic policy would lead to the devastation of the budget.